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Citigroup Survey Highlights September Dip in Macau Premium-Mass Activity

Eden Hayes · Sep 22, 2026

Citigroup Survey Highlights September Dip in Macau Premium-Mass Activity

Macau casino gaming tables during the September survey period

Citigroup conducted its September table survey across Macau properties and the results showed premium-mass wagers falling 45 percent compared with the same month a year earlier while the number of players dropped 20 percent and those figures led the brokerage to lower its monthly gross gaming revenue projection to 2.25 billion dollars.

Analysts described the performance as one of the weaker periods in recent history yet they also noted that some visitors might simply have postponed trips until the October Golden Week holiday period which often draws larger crowds from mainland China.

Details from the Table Survey

The survey focused on premium-mass tables which sit between mass-market and VIP segments and it captured data from multiple integrated resorts where researchers tracked both wager volumes and headcount at those tables throughout the month and the year-on-year comparison revealed the steepest contraction in betting activity within that tier while overall player attendance also declined noticeably.

Because the premium-mass segment contributes a sizable share of total revenue any sustained slowdown there can shift monthly expectations and in this case the brokerage responded by trimming its gross gaming revenue outlook to 2.25 billion dollars for the period under review.

Forecast Adjustment and Market Context

The decision to revise the monthly projection downward came directly from the observed 45 percent drop in wagers and the accompanying 20 percent reduction in player numbers and analysts emphasized that such softness stands out even when compared against other recent months that had shown more resilience.

At the same time the report pointed out a possible timing factor in which some premium-mass customers might have delayed their visits until October and teh upcoming Golden Week which historically brings increased travel and spending from mainland visitors and that caution suggests the September softness may not fully reflect underlying demand trends.

Overview of Macau casino resort exterior with gaming activity indicators

Player Behavior and Timing Considerations

Observers tracking Macau visitation patterns often note that holiday calendars influence when high-value players choose to travel and the September survey results align with that pattern because the brokerage explicitly cautioned that some customers could be holding off until the October break when more favorable schedules and promotional activity typically appear.

Data collected during the survey period therefore captures a snapshot that may include both genuine volume reductions and temporary shifts in timing and analysts incorporated that nuance when they described the showing as among the weakest in recent history while still leaving room for potential recovery once Golden Week arrives.

Implications for Monthly Revenue Tracking

With the adjusted gross gaming revenue forecast now set at 2.25 billion dollars the brokerage has established a new benchmark against which subsequent data releases can be measured and any improvement tied to October activity will be watched closely by those following premium-mass trends across the market.

The combination of lower wagers, fewer players, and the timing caveat provides a clear factual basis for the revised outlook while underscoring how month-to-month fluctuations can stem from both economic factors and calendar-driven behavior.

Conclusion

Citigroup’s September table survey therefore supplies a concise record of premium-mass activity in Macau with the 45 percent wager decline, 20 percent player drop, and the resulting 2.25 billion dollar monthly gross gaming revenue forecast serving as the primary data points and the analysts’ caution about possible October deferrals adds important context for interpreting the figures without assuming permanent shifts.